MCARI

Conflict Data › Hot spots

Hot spots

Data from 1 February 2021 to 31 December 2025.

Hot spots and cold spots, 2025

Hot spot
— A group of neighbouring townships where the count is clearly above the national average.
Cold spot
— A group of neighbouring townships where the count is clearly below the national average. It does not mean the area is safe or peaceful.
Neither
— Not clearly different from the average — most townships. A quiet township can be grey if its neighbours are not.

2025: 25 hot spots and 31 cold spots.

22 of the 25 hot spots are in Sagaing, Magway and Mandalay.

Hot spots in 2025 that were not in 2024: Budalin, Gangaw, Hlaingbwe, Kyauktaga, Madaya, Pakokku, Seikphyu, Tabayin, Taungtha.

Hot spots in 2024 that are not in 2025: Nawnghkio, Shwegyin, Thabeikkyin, Ye-U.

Hot spots in every year, 2021–2025: Kani, Myaing, Pale, Salingyi, Yesagyo, Yinmarbin.

Hot spots (25): , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Cold spots (31): , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Gi* compares each township and its neighbours with the country: a hot spot is a cluster of townships above the national level beyond what chance would give.

Significance: Gi*, false discovery rate 0.05 within each measure. Townships only (events placed to a township). A descriptive map of past events.

A cold spot reflects only fewer recorded conflict events and does not mean the area was safe.

Townships with no neighbouring township are left out: MMR011003, MMR012012, MMR013032.

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